MACHINE LEARNING • QUANT FINANCE • ECONOMETRICS

Twan Mulder

I'm a young professional with an MSc in Statistics from the University of Oxford, and a double bachelor's degree in Econometrics and Economics from Erasmus University Rotterdam. My expertise lies in machine learning, econometrics, and quantitative finance. My latest work focuses on the use of machine learning for asset pricing, in particular the pricing of corporate bonds, and has been presented at leading conferences in the field of econometrics and finance.

Portrait of Twan Mulder

About

My name is Twan Mulder, and I am 23 years old. I use machine learning and econometric techniques to tackle complex challenges in quantitative finance. This includes problems in asset pricing, risk management, option pricing, and portfolio optimization. However, my interests also extend beyond finance to applications in monetary economics, logistics, marketing, and healthcare.

Recently, I completed the MSc in Statistical Science at the University of Oxford. I chose elective courses in advanced machine learning, graphical models, Bayesian statistics, and stochastic processes. My dissertation––titled "The Mosaic of Predictability for Corporate Bonds"––investigated the heterogeneity in return predictability across individual corporate bonds, and used machine learning to cluster bonds with similar levels of predictability. I conducted this research under the supervision of Mihai Cucuringu, Maria Grith, and Stefan Zohren.

Before that, I earned a double bachelor's degree in econometrics and economics from Erasmus University Rotterdam. This is a competitive and small program, with only around 100 students admitted each year. The program is part of the Econometric Institute in Rotterdam, which was founded by Jan Tinbergen––the first Nobel Prize winner in economics––and Henri Theil. A famous alumnus is Guido Imbens, who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 2021. I graduated summa cum laude from both programs. My thesis––titled "Spectral Factor Model for Corporate Bonds: Separating Signal from Noise"––introduced a new approach to factor modeling in the corporate bond market, under the supervision of Maria Grith. This work has been presented at top conferences in the field of econometrics and finance, such as the main conference of the Society in Financial Econometrics (SoFiE) in 2025.

Experience

  1. Research Assistant · Erasmus University Rotterdam

    2022 — 2024
    • Research on time series analysis.
    • Supervisor: Prof. Philip Hans Franses.
    • Conducted simulation experiments in R, helped with academic writing, and collected data from WRDS and LSEG.
  2. Teaching Assistant · Erasmus University Rotterdam

    2022 — 2022
    • Led practical sessions (±25 students) for first- and second-year econometrics courses.
    • Courses: Probability Theory and Programming (Java).

Education

  1. MSc Statistical Science · University of Oxford

    2024 — 2025
    • Courses in machine learning, graphical models, Bayesian statistics and stochastic processes.
    • Thesis: “The Mosaic of Predictability for Corporate Bonds”.
    • Supervisors: Mihai Cucuringu, Maria Grith and Stefan Zohren.
  2. BSc Econometrics & Operations Research · Erasmus University Rotterdam

    2020 — 2024
    • Focused on time-series econometrics, optimization, and statistical computing.
    • Thesis: "Spectral Factor Models for Corporate Bonds: Separating Signal from Noise".
    • GPA: 9.11 / 10 (Top 0.90%).
    • Graduated summa cum laude.
  3. BSc Economics & Business Economics · Erasmus University Rotterdam

    2020 — 2024
    • Focused on financial economics, macroeconomics and monetary policy.
    • GPA: 9.26 / 10 (Top 0.13%).
    • Graduated summa cum laude.

Publications / Working Papers

The Mosaic of Predictability for Corporate Bonds

Twan Mulder

Working Paper · 2025

PDF

Spectral Factor Model for Corporate Bonds: Separating Signal from Noise

Twan Mulder, Maria Grith, Patrick Verwijmeren

Working Paper · 2024

PDF

Code

Projects

Volatility-Managed Portfolio Performance

A case study from my undergraduate coursework that examines the performance of volatility-managed portfolios.

Enhancing Donor Targeting through Direct Mailing

A case study from my undergraduate coursework investigating methods to improve target selection in charity mailings.

Single-depot vehicle scheduling problem with electric buses

A case study from my undergraduate coursework that extends the single-depot vehicle scheduling problem to include both regular and electric buses with charging constraints.

Contact

I’m open to research collaborations, data partnerships, and industry talks. The fastest way to reach me is by email.